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Updated Oct 6, 2011 - 12:07 pm

No reason why Diamondbacks can't win Game 5

Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Ian Kennedy throws during the first inning of Game 1 of baseball's National League division series against the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday, Oct. 1, 2011, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

There is no reason to think that the Arizona Diamondbacks can't pull off on Friday what has never been done before since baseball switched to the current playoff format in 1995: winning the NLDS after losing the first two games.

That's right, while it has been accomplished four times in the American League, no National League team in 19 attempts has come back to win a series after dropping the first two. So why shouldn't Arizona be the first?

For the Milwaukee Brewers to advance they will have to beat Cy Young candidate Ian Kennedy a second time in five days, and that will not be easy. Kennedy was ready to pitch Wednesday on three days' rest but manager Kirk Gibson chose Joe Saunders, and although the veteran lefty only lasted three innings, Gibson's decision paid off. Now Kennedy goes on full rest against Brewers ace Yovani Gallardo in a winner takes all matchup. And Kennedy will have learned from his mistakes in Game 1 and have a better approach in dealing with Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder.

Chris Young Wednesday night after the game talked about jumping on Gallardo early and that will be the key. Home field has proven to be huge in this series so far and Milwaukee did have the best home record in the Major Leagues at 57-24. But jumping on Gallardo early could take the Miller Park crowd out of the game, and that would be huge because home teams feed off the adrenaline they get from the fans.

What we learned about Milwaukee is that they didn't have the killer instinct, the ability to step on the D-backs' throats and put Arizona away. Now Arizona is back in the series and swinging the bats well with five players hitting over .350. The one player that may need to get his game on track for Game 5 is Justin Upton, who is hitting just .188 and not looking good or comfortable at the plate. It looks like Upton is expanding the strike zone and trying to hit home runs. Maybe watching all of his teammates hit the long ball has him trying to do the same, but Upton needs to get back to driving the ball because a big game from him could be the difference in Game 5.


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